YTD 14-18-0
A losing week last week yes, but we saved it from being a complete bloodbath in the margins with our Thursday picks along with FSU on Monday night. Week one is exactly what it say it is though. We can think we know something and be completely wrong see my TCU bet last weekend vs Deion and the Buffs. Although I was tempted I am refraining from betting against them again this week with old Big 8 rival Nebraska coming to Boulder in what will be the biggest home game Colorado has had since joining the Pac-12. This has a couple intriguing matchups, but with the big boys of the sport playing mostly cupcakes you will have to dive into a bit of the undercard to truly appreciate this weeks slate.
Sides YTD 8-13-0
Notre Dame (-7.5) vs NC State
This will be the first time we get to see the Irish in a true road game vs a power 5 opponent this year. I love the Irish in this game. NC State struggled to stop the run vs UCONN just a week ago after all. Historically since Notre Dame agreed to start playing all these ACC games they have sold out the other teams building and then preceded to beat the breaks off them. Sam Hartman has never one at NC State in his career, but he will be bringing a much better team this time into Raleigh. I like Notre Dame all the way up to -14 so at -7.5 I love them.
Utah (-7) vs Baylor
A couple of road favorites to open up the sheet this week I mean what could go wrong. These two teams had vastly different week one’s this year. The Baylor bears lost by multiple scores to Texas State at home that is very bad. I don’t image Cam Rising will play again this week either for the Utes and I do not see it mattering much. This is a physical Utah team thats coming off a couple extra days of rest having played on thursday last week as well. Always gamble responsibly, but I may end up betting the farm on the Utes this Saturday.
Ole Miss vs Tulane (+7)
The darlings of last football season my beloved Green Wave of Tulane are playing host this weekend to Lane Kiffin and the Rebels of Ole Miss. I am extremely excited to see how this one plays out in the Big Easy. Ole Miss has an advantage at the skill positions, but at QB I think Michael Pratt will outplay Jackson Dartt. This game presents me with an opportunity to be very wrong and have several of the Ole Miss faithful which this time of year I still reluctantly call my friends to make me eat crow. The heart want what the heart wants though and I simply cant bet against a team at home catching seven points while dressed out with the white helmets and powder blue uniforms.
Texas A&M (-3.5) vs Miami
I’m not sure if this is my new found belief in what A&M’s offense can be this year with petrino and that talented of skill guys or my lack of faith in the Canes. Cristobal and the boys took care of Miami (OH) last week. I think the Aggies win this one somewhere in the region of 7-10 points.
Iowa (-4) vs Iowa State
This is such a rat line. I will take the cheese, because Iowa dominates the elassico matchup historically and because of Kirk Ferentz saying when asked what he thought of former president Trump being at the game said “Great. There’s going to be about 60 other thousand people, too. So, that’s great,”
UTEP (-1) vs Northwestern
Northwestern fucking stinks and may not win a game this year simple enough?
SMU (+16) vs Oklahoma
The mustangs travel north to Norman this weekend fresh of covering easily last week despite not playing that crisp. The Sooners however scored a whooping 73 points last weekend vs Arkansas State. I think that total was more indicative of the poor state of the Red Wolves program under Butch Jones rather than the dominance of this Oklahoma team. Mustangs at anything outside of 14 points.
Texas (+7) vs Alabama
You do not get rich betting against Nick Saban and Alabama. Let alone in Bryant Denny Stadium. Texas should have one this game last year if Ewers had not gotten hurt. I’m taking the horns and I like them to win this game outright. Go ahead Andrew I am giving you a winner this week take bama like I know you want too.
UCF vs Boise State (+3.5)
Boise simply does not lose on the smurf terf as home underdogs go ahead google it see how many times it has happened.
Memphis (-21) vs Arkansas State
Same mentality as the Northwestern bet I will be blindly fading this Arkansas State team until Butch Jones no longer is employed.
UCLA vs SDSU (+14)
The Aztecs have a great record vs PAC 12 teams at home. Factoring that their defense and ability to slow the game down I like SDSU to keep it within the number.
Oklahoma State (-3) vs Arizona State
I think the Sun Devils are not very good and Gundy just finds ways to win these games.
Totals YTD 6-5-0
Utah vs Baylor (Under 46.5)
I anticipate the bears will have a very hard time scoring points especially with their starting QB out for a few weeks. Look for Utah to put the anaconda choke on Baylor down in Waco.
Ole Miss vs Tulane (Over 66.5)
I am betting this game purely for entertainment value and I need to see a barge worth of points coming down that Mississippi river.
Texas A&M vs Miami (Under 51.5)
All the Republican presidential candidates will be at Iowa vs Iowa State, but they should be at this game with this pairing of conservative coaches that is in the sense of being an aggressive play caller that actually wants to score points.
UNLV vs Michigan (Under 57)
Reversing course after last week saying Michigan will hit it by themselves UNLV probably won’t score.
Kent State vs Arkansas (Over 58)
The Hogs scored 56 last week. The Flashes gave up 56 points last week. Interesting.
App State vs UNC (Over 58.5)
Idk man these teams always play batshit games I hope that time honored tradition continues.
Texas vs Alabama (Over 53.5)
If this game is going to live up to the hype we all as a nation need this game to go over this total.
Oregon vs Texas Tech (Under 69)
Playing on the Moon is a little different that playing in beautiful Eugene Oregon. I look for the Ducks Offense to come down to earth a little bit more this week. Tech also needs to bounce back after last weeks disaster in Laramie so they should definitely slow the pace in this one.
Southern Miss vs FSU (Over 53.5)
The Noles offense is legit. Just hope they don’t take the air completely out of the ball before getting to this number.
Parlay of the week
Have not won picking a three legger so what do you do, add another leg to your parlay.
Notre Dame -7.5, Utah -7, Arkansas Over 58, Boise St +3.5
+1223
10 to win 122.38
0-2 YTD -2 unit