NFL was on one last week. Just 2-4 on picks which I did not expect. Was really confident about all the ones I had, they all seemed like gimme’s. Need to be a little more picky this week.

Started the early set of games off terribly. Missed on all 3. Lions, Chargers, and Colts all struggled to put a decent football game together and I was not expecting that. Seemed like a fluke of a week.

Luckily I pulled it together the rest of the day. I called it with the Bills, wished I would have taken them out right. I knew they have the better football team. Sunday night I figured the Seahawks would cover handily, that game was very boring to watch for me.

As for trends right now, it looks like overs are starting to hit more often, not by much. Also Away favorites are covering 56% of the time right now.

Lets get to the picks. No picks for TNF or the Sunday morning game, as I am watching that one as I write this now.

NFL Picks YTD 27-22

Bills (-9.5) vs. Dolphins

I will continue to bet the Bills until they start losing me money. The Dolphins are not good right now. I think Bills go on the road and win by 10.

Giants vs. Bears (-4.5)

Giants are a bad football team. They are a little better with Dart, however Skattebo is obviously out. I dont know who else Dart will have to lean on. Bears have played well this season, so I will take them at home.

Lions (-8.5) vs. Commanders

Donald Trump will be at this game and see the local team get destroyed. Without Jayden Daniels this team is nothing. The Lions are still a good team despite what happened last week. Looking for Dan Campbell and the boys to have a get right week with this one.

Steelers (+3) vs. Chargers

Both these teams are playing well, but I just think the Steelers will come to play. Aaron Rodgers on prime time? Ill take the Steelers to make it a good game.

Eagles (+1.5) vs. Packers

This is a tough one to pick. Green Bay, itll be cold. But the Eagles are used to playing in weather too. I feel this is a good game, but the Eagles want it more.

All odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook as of 11/9/2025