YTD 45-41-1
Promises were made and promises were delivered last weekend. I told you I had a Game of the Year with Notre Dame +3.5 it cashed. Always pay for the hook kids. Along side that I went a scorching 11-4 overall on the week. The only thing keeping our sails from being completely full was another losing week on my parlay. That being said I did not go back and look at every one of these I have written, but last week felt like the best winning week we have ever had. Now comes the hard part dear reader. I must do it again. Everyone knows its easy to have one winning week. The hard part is starting to string them together. So lets do just that and get into this weeks slate of games.
Sides YTD 24-27-1
Utah (+4.5) vs Oregon State
The first game of the sheet and what a doozie this one is on friday night up in Corvallis. I flipped back and forth a few times on who I wanted to back with my hard earned money and finally settled on the Utes. Everything here screams upset on a rankings basis and thus vegas has adjusted and made Utah the betting underdog on the road this friday. If it was 2.5 or 3 I would take the beavers but catching more than a field goal I think the utes will stay in this one till the final whistle.
USC (-21.5) vs Colorado
While I would obviously prefer this inside the football number rather than outside of it I will still back the Trojans vs Deion and the Buffs. I think USC simply has to much firepower on offense to be stopped by Colorado even if this game is being kicked at 9am local time. Fight on and Rado will be in big trouble again this weekend.
Clemson (-6.5) vs Syracuse
Can the Tigers get up off the mat? I say yes. Clemson offense looked very good against FSU and we were very lucky to win that bet on the Noles last week. I think Clemson will look sharper than they did last week and I do not like how reliant the orange have been on QB running this year with Schrader racking up a bunch of hits. Clemson will be a better defense than Syracuse has seen all year so far and that is where this game will be won.
Georgia (-14) vs Auburn
The bulldogs have not covered a number yet this year. That changes this Saturday with a trip down to the plains where they will trounce the tigers in Jordan Hare Stadium. Bulldogs Big.
Kansas +(16.5) vs Texas
Jayden Daniels is to good at QB and he will keep us within the number. Texas wins this game at home, but Kansas will get theirs with the creativity they have in play design on offense.
Missouri (-13.5) vs Vanderbilt
The Tigers will be looking for style points in their yearly matchup with the Dores. This may be a bit of a look ahead spot for Mizzou since they do have LSU next week, but with Brady Cook and that passing attack this line should be more like -21 than -13.5.
LSU (-2.5) vs Ole Miss
I gave Lane and the Rebels to much credit last week. Their O line kinda just stinks. I think Brian Kelly will have the boys ready for a business trip to the grove and take care of business in this one. Will be a sad night in the Library for the Ole Miss faithful.
Iowa State vs Oklahoma (-20)
How this line is not at least three touchdowns makes no sense to me. Oklahoma has been absolutely jumping on teams out the gate and at home in Norman against a down Iowa State team compared to the last 5 years. Boomer Sooner and Big.
Notre Dame (-5.5) vs Duke
After a tough loss at home to a very good Ohio State team the irish will now travel to the tobacco road. Lucky for them that means they are playing an ACC opponent who they flat out dominate. Plus the Irish know how to cover spreads give me the catholics again this week. Marcus Freemans squad is quickly becoming a staple of my weekly betting strategy.
South Carolina vs Tennessee (-12.5)
Vols at home vs a team that can’t protect the QB yeah I like that. This Tennessee D Line has been very strong throughout this young season. Joe Milton may not play, but that does not worry me all that much I still like Tennessee to win by at least Two Touchdowns this saturday night up in those hills.
SDSU vs Air Force (-10.5)
The road team in this matchup is one of the worst teams in the FBS defending against the run. The home team runs the ball 94% of the time. This game will be played at elevation. All of these factors lead me to the obvious play of Air force.
Pitt (-2.5) vs VA Tech
Set and forget this bet. Please do not watch this abomination of a football game.
Washington (-20) vs Arizona
I faded the huskies week one. That will not happen again. Washington may go score 60 in the desert for the Pac-12 After dark night cap.
Totals YTD 21-14
USC vs Colorado (Under 73.5)
Wow Reed such a sharp bet just bet under on the highest total of the weekend. I just don’t think Colorado will score enough in this game to get to that kind of number every field goal is a win with a number that high.
Florida vs Kentucky (Under 45)
Graham Mertz Unders on the road baby lets ride.
Texas A&M vs Arkansas (Over 53.5)
I can not seem to get right with these two fucking teams. Who cares though because whenever we play these bastards in jerry world weird ass shit happens. Give me the over so I feel less pain when a Bobby Petrino offense kicks our ass for a second straight year. Woo Pig. Whole Hog Half Ham Arkansas by Damn. I just want points in this one man.
Michigan vs Nebraska (Under 39)
The Michigan Unders will continue until they reach Iowa levels simple as that.
Kansas vs Texas (Over 61)
If I think that Kansas will cover the natural progression is that the over will hit. Texas will get theirs so I think this game could be fairly entertaining.
New Mexico vs Wyoming (Under 40.5)
Three things to know. Altitude. Wind 20 mph crosswinds. New Mexico is bad. Thats all you need to know.
Parlay of the week
LSU -2.5, Oklahoma -20,Air Force -10.5, Washington -20
+1217