YTD 52-53-1
A loser of a week 7-12 overall just is not gonna cut it in this business. I am however going to my first college football game of the season in person this weekend at oxford to watch the disappointing slumping hogs play the highest scoring team in the SEC in terms of PPG in the Ole Miss Rebels. What could go wrong? That being said this should be a great slate of games and I cannot wait to eat, drink and gamble all weekend with my good friends over there in the groove. With that being said let us put last week behind us and get some winners for the weekend.
Sides YTD 30-34-1
Texas (-5) vs Oklahoma
Everything these teams have shown us this year points to this being a much closer matchup than last years 49-0 drubbing. Red River is always chaos in a bottle at the Texas state fair but this year I think it will be tempered down again. This game will come down to who can control the lines of scrimmage and run the football at higher success rate. At the end of the day I think this longhorns defense is very good and will force the sooners to be more one dimensional than they have been throughout the year. Texas gets another big win and will be in the drivers seat for the big 12.
LSU (-4) vs Mizzou
This feels like the spot Clemson was in last week when they took care of Cuse. Now I think Mizzou is much better than Cuse, that being said I think the Bayou Bengals will get off the mat in this won and find a way to win in colombia. We will get to this later, but also definitely taking the over in this one as well.
Washington State vs UCLA (-3.5)
My new strategy for the Pac-12 the rest of the way is bet the home teams. With so many good teams in the Pac-12 this year with great QB play being away from home seems to be making a difference. See Utah at Corvallis and Oregon State at Pullman. With that being said I will take the Bruins at home to give the cougars their first loss on the year.
Syracuse vs UNC (-9.5)
UNC scores boatloads of points and gets back Tez walker finally after the bullshit the NCAA put him through with his eligibility. I like UNC to score a bunch and with Syracuse being to one dimensional in having to run the QB to much I like the Tarheels to win by double digits in this one in chapel hill.
Purdue vs Iowa (-2.5)
The Hawkeyes simply find ways to win at home. That trend will continue this Saturday at home Iowa only laying 2.5 have to take it. The Hawkeyes defense is simply to good. Now I am not saying to watch this game because it will be a brutal watch, but punting leads to winning and the Ferentz boys simply will not let me down with so little of a spread.
Notre Dame (-6) vs Louisville
Listen I will be loyal to the Irish till they lose several weeks in a row by not covering. They had no right to cover last week at Duke and they managed to do it. I will ride this train till the wheels fall off. I also just greatly enjoy watching this team with Sam Hartman who may not be as good as I had initially thought. He is a leader though and with this being another prime time game I like the Irish to continue their covering ways and win again this weekend.
Michigan (-18) vs Minnesota
The Wolverines have not had a single opponent attempt a goal to go this year. Minnesota’s Offense simply put does not belong on the same field as Michigans Defense. I could see this result being very similar to last weeks in lincoln. I like Michigan and big.
Georgia Tech vs Miami (FL) (-19.5)
The Canes may be very good this year. Some of the transitive properties of that win vs A&M are starting to bear fruit. With Van Dyke at the helm I like the Canes to dispatch the Yellow Jackets with relative ease this Saturday.
Fresno State (-6) vs Wyoming
Fresno is a wagon and I am jumping on. I don’t think Wyoming’s defense will be good enough vs the Bulldogs passing attack to keep this within a Touchdown.
Alabama vs Texas A&M (+1.5)
I think both Texas and Texas A&M will both be able to say they have beat Alabama after this weekend. Listen this Bama OLine is not as good as it has been in the past. They don’t hold up vs elite pass rush and thats what the Aggies have. Now Arkansas does not have a good OLine but this Aggies team lived in the backfield with 7 Sacks and 15 TFL’s. The only concern I have with the Aggies is Max Johnson’s inability to protect the football. If he can do that the Aggies will beat mean old Nick Saban again this week.
Totals YTD 22-19
Texas vs Oklahoma (Over 60.5)
I actually kinda like the Under, but it is Red River so you blindly bet the over and enjoy the show those are the rules.
LSU vs Mizzou (Over 64.5)
LSU overs are 5-0. Mizzou overs are 4-1. They get another this week.
Virginia Tech vs FSU (Over 53)
Don’t trust the Noles off a bye to win by 25 so I will just take the Over and let Travis and the boys light up the scoreboard instead.
Oregon State vs Cal (Under 51.5)
I may be totally wrong on Cal Unders this year, but I am rolling the dice again with this one.
Arkansas vs Ole Miss (Over 63)
I struggle to see a world where either team gets a lot of stops and if I bet the over it will dull my pain every time the Rebs score and all their fans are yelling at me, for having on an a Red Arkansas shirt in their blue section of the stadium.
Parlay of the week
This will never win.
Over 64.5 LSU, UCLA -3.5, Iowa -2.5, Michigan -18
+1258
10 to win 125.84
YTD 0-6 -6 units