YTD 111-101-4
9-3-1 with a massive bet and win on the Wolverines last week. I have somehow battled my way back to .500 on sides with a record of 66-66-4. Nowhere to run now. It all comes down to tonight and Saturday to secure another above .500 season. It is kinda of remarkable that if you have followed every straight bet I have posted this year I have a .5522 winning percentage or the exact mark you need to win in order to beat the juice of the book. Now if I had hit more than one parlay this year we would be up bigly, but alas I have only hit one this year. That being said when I have told you I am betting a big game or a GOTY I have gone 5-1 this year. Like having Michigan last week I know when it is time to big game hunt and go for a payday. This weeks lines are fairly dialed in so this will largely be about how vibes and trusting the teams that have made us the most money all season. College football for all it’s chaos in the 30,000 foot view is the most predictable sport in that the teams with ungodly amounts of talent usually win and cover large spreads. With all that being said I want to sincerely thank those of you that have read this blog weekly this year and trust me when it comes to your hard earned cash and betting this fickle sport. Now let us get to these damn games coming up.
Sides YTD 66-66-4
New Mexico State vs Liberty (-10.5)
First time time Liberty and the flames have made the sheet this year. Jeremey Chadwell has these boys 12-0. With a win tonight they will likely play in a New Years Six bowl. I like them to run it up tonight and try and get some style points in this one.
Oregon (-9.5) vs Washington
Now some of you may remember I made Washington a GOTY earlier this year and won with them as 3 point favorites in Seattle. The problem is I think Penix is hurt. This Washington team has played extremely poorly in their wins this past 6 weeks and I think it finally catches up with them give me Dan Lanning and the Ducks to make some of those 4th down plays that cost them the first game in the rematch.
Oklahoma State (+15) vs Texas
Texas has been the better team all year. This game comes down to me getting outside of two scores with Mike Gundy in a high pressure game. I trust mullet man to make the decisions and score enough points for the cowboys to be able to stay inside this number and probably lose by around 10 points.
Miami (OH) vs Toledo (-7.5)
This game comes down to two things. Toledo has the more talented roster and the fact that I do not trust Miami’s QB play. Now this along with the last game are massively important, because we have to start Saturday with some winners. Go Rockets!
Boise State vs UNLV (+2.5)
Now the Rebels lost last week and still managed to make it into this game thanks to some old school BCS computer shit. That being said give me Odem and the Rebels to win the Mountain West on their home field.
Georgia (-5) vs Alabama
Let me be clear. I believe in Kirby and the Bulldogs to cover and win this game. If I were to bet the opposite side I would take Bama ML and not the points. Alabama either wins this game outright or loses by two scores. Georgia covering is the most likely outcome so that is the one I will be betting. Since I do love betting on Kirby and the boys, but if you feel the opposite I would strongly suggest taking Alabama Moneyline.
Ladd McConkey ATTS +120
I know I stick to sides and totals most of the time, but I love this bet to much not to share it with y’all. Big Bad Ladd getting in the endzone you better believe it.
SMU vs Tulane (-3)
I love both these teams. This is like choosing between two of your favorite children. That being said I own a Tulane shirt. I do not own a SMU shirt. If the Mustangs win this game though I will by some sort of Cocaine themed SMU shirt and post a picture of me wearing it on twitter. Roll Wave!
App State vs Troy (-5.5)
Troy at home I think is to much. I like the Trojans to win this game.
Louisville vs FSU (-1.5)
Noles down to maybe their 3rd string QB. I do not care Mike Norvell finds a way to get these boys fired up and leads them to a win and punch their ticket to the CFP.
Michigan (-22) vs Iowa
You dance with the girl that brought you simple as that. I love the hawkeyes, but this Michigan team has made me the most money this year and I am riding with them. Plus the Big 10 championship tends to mostly just be a coronation for whoever wins the Big 10 East.
Totals YTD 45-35
Oregon vs Washington (Under 65.5)
I am committing a borderline sacrilegious act and taking the under in the last ever Pac-12 game. I do not think Washington will be able to score enough points in this one.
Oklahoma State vs Texas (Under 55.5)
The Big 12 title game tends to be a more low scoring affair. I would like for both teams to run the ball a lot in this one.
Georgia vs Alabama (Over 55)
This is one of my favorite plays this saturday. I do not think these defense’s are as good as these offense’s simple as that.
Michigan vs Iowa (Over 35)
Michigan 35. Iowa 7. Final Score.
Parlay of the week
YTD 1-13 -0.416 Units
Georgia Over 55, Michigan Over 35, UNLV +2.5, Tulane -3
+1240
10 to win 124.03