YTD 7-11-0

Week one in college football when betting you are hoping to hit slightly above .500.  I hit seven out of my eighteen bets so not what you are looking for, but now I have one more data point in the holster for all these teams. This week there are a few good matchups like Michigan vs Texas along with Tennessee in a neutral site game vs NC State later on Saturday.  I will try to reign in and select smaller cards early on in the season until I have a better idea what some of these teams will look like. Comparing the summertime hype vs the reality of what these teams true colors turn out to be as the season progresses.

Sides YTD 5-7-0

Texas vs Michigan (+7.5)

I will be honest, I went back and forth on this game a lot. Michigan has problems at Quarterback that is very concerning. They did not run the ball the way I expected they would be able to against Fresno State. If Michigan does not cover those will be the two factors that decide it. Michigan still has arguably a top 5 defense in the country and Texas I think will struggle in the red zone to score touchdowns. At the end of the day catching more than a touchdown at home with that defense is to much for me to bet Texas. This line was -3.5 for Texas when it opened and it was bet up to more than a TD. I think Michigan loses close, but keeps it within the number.

Georgia Tech vs Syracuse (+3)

Weird things happen in the carrier dome and I am still not convinced with Georgia Tech after Florida States follow up loss to BC. I think Cuse and their new QB Ohio State transfer Kyle McCord can go win this game at home.

Kansas State (-9.5) vs Tulane 

I think the green wave will struggle with KStates physicality in this one. Tulane is also going through a lot of growing pains with Willie Fritz leaving in the offseason. I like KState to get up early and sit on this one give me the wildcats to win by 14 or 20 points.

Iowa State vs Iowa (-3.5)

Iowa just simply wins when it comes to the CyHawk. Don’t overthink this. Especially in Iowa City give me the Hawkeyes. I mean Kirk Ferentz is back after his one game suspension and I was impressed with what I saw from Cade McNamara week one. Granted it was against a FCS opponent, but Iowa hasn’t had that many WR TD’s in one game in years! 

Baylor vs Utah (-15)

Utah has one of the best home field advantages in the sport. As long as Cam Rising stays healthy I will be laying some coin on the Utes. Weird scheduling thing with this game as well it will not count as Big 12 Game despite the Utes joining the conference this year.

Jacksonville State vs Louisville (-30)

I think Louisville will be scoring early and often in this one. Jacksonville State looked really really bad week one.

Kansas vs Illinois (+5.5)

I really like that these two teams did a home and home. Last year was a fun matchup of styles and I would like to see what the encore brings. I think Illinois gets it’s revenge and wins at home this year though. Give me the Illini outright, but for the purpose of the sheet I will take the points.

Colorado vs Nebraska (-7)

I might have some of the worst feel when it comes to betting for or against Colorado. I like the Huskers at home to get revenge for last years loss in Boulder though. I think Sheduer Sanders is very talented. Unfortunately for him it is difficult for any QB no matter how good to play well with the amount of pressure I anticipate the cornhuskers will be able to generate. Colorado’s defense did not impress me week one and I think the Huskers will be able to move the ball really well. Give me Nebraska in this old school Big 8 matchup.

Houston vs Oklahoma (-29)

I think Houston stinks. This rebuild will be very painful for the cougars give me the Sooners big at home in Norman.

Texas Tech vs Wazzu (-2)

These two teams sure as hell had an interesting week one. I think both their defenses stink so give me the home team to win a shootout in the Mike Leach bowl.

Totals YTD 2-4

Duke vs Northwestern (Under 37)

Lake effect unders are the play ladies and gentleman. Friday night out by the lake with 15 mile an hour winds this one will be a snoozefest as are most Northwestern games.

Arkansas vs Oklahoma State (Under 63)

But Reed, Bobby Petrino is back and he scored 10 TDs last game how can you take the under??? Prove it against a real team. I still have serious questions about Taylen Green’s ability to drop back and throw the football against real competition. I also want to see how he reacts to a hostile crowd in Stillwater. This game will be slower paced than most think and I will take the under. I also like Arkansas defense to slow down the Cowboys in the run game. 

South Carolina vs Kentucky (Under 42.5)

South Carolina may be really bad. At least on offense for sure. I think Kentucky realizes they have control of this game early and just absolutely sits on the football and wins a absolutely boring game at home.

Buffalo vs Missouri (Over 52)

Mizzou may hit this over by themselves. Give me 10 points out of Buffalo and it will definitely hit at home in Columbia.

USF vs Alabama (Over 63.5)

Bama wants some revenge from their poor showing last year down in Tampa vs the Bulls. I expect USF to play with a lot of tempo though. Will USF be competitive probably not, but I see a score of like 48 to 17 and that gets us to an over in this one.

Texas Tech vs Wazzu (Over 66.5)

I will bet the over in the Mike Leach Legacy bowl.

Mississippi State vs Arizona State (Over 60.5)

Things might get a little squirrely late night in the desert with this one. Also from last week oh my goodness I did not know Wyoming would be that dreadful.

Parlay of the week

Iowa -3.5, Nebraska -7, South Carolina vs Kentucky Under 42.5

+611

YTD 0-1

-1 Units