Alright, better late than never. We are back for another week of picks. Last week I got the hell beat out of me and we just cant have that. 2-3 week is not what we are looking for. I need to keep the record looking pretty for the remainder of the season. Honestly its probably good I missed the Thursday night game. That game had no stakes anyways. I didnt even watch the whole thing.

I cannot believe how well the Seahawks played against the boys in Dallas. That game had me stressed out. Didnt get the cover, but the Cowboys did still win by 6. Looking for them to continue the home team advantage this week.

I picked the Lions by 4.5, and they won by 5. Just cant pick a better game. I wasnt planning on that game even being close at all. Are the Lions slowing down? Are the Saints figuring out who they are? I would say the Saints still stink, and maybe the Lions just had a bad day.

49ers absolutely blew out the Eagles in Philly. What a glorious sight. Almost like the Niners knew we had mutual enemies. Cry Eagles Cry, go Cowboys. We are coming for ya.

I dont even want to talk about the next two games. I keep taking the bait on the Chiefs. I dont know what that team is this year, but they are not consistent thats for sure. Jordan Love is really showing out now though. May be time to look at some other teams to ride with. The Jags looked like shit and then they lost Trevor Lawrence. Ts & Ps for him, other than that, just a bad pick.

Trends are shifting a little bit after last week. ATS stats are basically 50/50 on almost everything. The Favorites right now are covering a little more than dogs are. Favorites covering 53.3% of the time currently. Unders are starting to not be the bet to trail anymore. Unders are hitting 58.5% of the time, which means we are seeing more overs hit. Looks like the book makers are trying to balance things out towards the end of this season. The Unders were hitting over 68% of the time earlier this season, so definitely something to look out for. Lets get to the picks.

NFL Picks YTD 38-28-5

Rams vs. Ravens (-7.5)

This is a big spread, but I think the Ravens have been putting up big points this year. Ravens are 8-4 ATS this season, so almost every game they win, they also cover. They are 4-0-1 ATS against the Rams in their last 5 match ups. Ravens Flock Sunday afternoon.

Lions (-3) vs. Bears

Damn near the whole country is on the Lions. 75% of the money, and 76% of all bets are on Lions to cover. They are also 8-4 ATS overall. Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 on the road. I think the Lions go to Chicago and cover easily. Go Lions.

Broncos vs. Chargers (-2.5)

The 3 o’clock hour was a tough one to pick. Almost nothing to love, was tempted to go with the niners, but 14 points is a bit hefty for me. That being said I am reluctantly taking the Chargers here. The Chargers stink, lets all just be honest here. But so do the Broncos. I think the Chargers undoubtedly have the better offense. Chargers defense is virtually non existent, so I am going to count on the chargers to put up some points at home.

Eagles vs Cowboys (-3.5) & Over 51.5 (2 singles 1 unit each)

You already know what my pick was going to be for Sunday Night Football. This game is a must win for the boys. We are playing fantastic at home. CeeDee has really stepped up recently. Dak is FLYING since the 49ers loss. Cowboys are 5-0 ATS at home vs the Eagles. The over has hit every time in the last 5 match ups between these two teams. Look for both of these teams to put up some points. Cowboys win 42-35.

Packers (-6.5) vs. Giants

Packers have been looking great since thanksgiving. I had a beer and talked football with Bryce Flesner last night, and he told me the Pack is all the way back. We are riding with the Jordan Love train in this game. The Giants are so bad. Packers might throw up some style points in this one. Go Pack Go!

All odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook as of 12/9/2023