Alrighty folks, one hell of a week for the sheet last week. I went 5-1, the best record since I started doing these stupid things. The one I lost was ironically one I was rather confident in. The 49ers got off their heater and laid an absolute egg to the Brahns. The rest of the picks I was absolutely money on. On that note, can we talk about how many unders are hitting right now? It is insane. Some of these NFL games are so boring right now. Im not sure if this is going to change but definitely something to keep an eye on.

So looking at the NFL trends right now. Away Favorites are covering the spread 58.3% of the time. I think this is similar to last week. This is really the only stat that stands out to me for the spread so far. Right now 60.9% of all NFL games are going under the total. That is so bonkers to me. I think we are going to ride this trend till the wheels fall off. So going into the picks we are looking for away favorites, and unders. Lets get to the picks.

NFL Picks YTD 16-12-2

Jaguars ML (+112) vs. Saints

I could probably take the under in the game as the Saints last 5 games have gone under. However 40.5 is a little too low for my taste in this matchup. Jags are 5-0 ATS on the road in the last 5 road games. They are a whopping 5-1 straight up in their last 6 road games. I feel there is great value on the Jags ML here, they have been playing better than the Saints. I think the Jags win here.

Commanders (-3) vs. Giants

Giants suck. Did yall see that play before half in their game last week? They are up there with the worst teams in the NFL. Road favorites are hitting. Last time I bet the commies they let me down. I do not think they repeat that this week. Commanders are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 on the road. Give me the Commies Sunday afternoon.

Cardinals vs. Seahawks Under 44.5

Looked at this game one time and immediately knew I loved the under here. This exact matchup and situation has gone under 4 out of the last 5 times. Neither of these times are high caliber. Give me the Under in this snooze fest.

Dolphins ML (+122) vs. Eagles

I just dont think there is a better team in the NFL besides the 49ers or the Bills in the league right now. The Dolphins are so damn good, I think the only reason they are dawgs here is because they are playing in Philly off a loss in October. I think the Dolphins stun the Eagles in Philly Sunday night.

49ers vs. Vikings Under 44

Vikings may score once, but thats all I see. I bet the 49ers will force at least 3 turnovers. VIkings are a turnover machine. 49ers are going to be looking to bounce back after loosing to the browns. I predict the niners get out early on them and let the defense do its thing.

All odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook as of 10/19/2023