5-0 WEEK LETS GO BABYYYY. Last week we had a couple bets we collectively had to sweat out. I am pleased to announce we are all the way back and on a heater. Last week was the best sheet we have had since I started posting these things. What a crazy ride. Lets keep it rolling.
The Bills teaser was brilliant. It was looking like the under was going to be closer than I wanted, but it prevailed. The Dolphins I never had any doubt about, although the pats did put up a better fight than I thought they would. Both of the Unders last week were way closer than I thought. I have this tingly feeling that the totals are going to start shifting to overs, I have no proof to back that up. Then the Lions blessed us Monday night with a solid 8.5 point cover. These Lions are kind of rolling right now and I am so here for it.
In terms of betting trends we dont really see much change. The biggest thing to note is no matter what you look at for ATS trends, its basically 50/50. Right now Unders are still the money move in the NFL. Unders are hitting 60.5% of the time. I believe that is down from last week. This might be where the pendulum starts to swing back towards favoring the overs. This is something we should keep an eye on. Lets get to the picks.
NFL Picks YTD 24-14-2
Titans vs. Steelers (-2.5)
I dont love this bet to be honest. This game is a tough one to pick since both of the teams having been stinking it up. There is one saving grace about this though. The Steelers are at home in Pittsburgh. 2.5 points isnt a lot, and I think they can cover it. Most of the bets are coming in on the Titans right now but more money is on the Steelers. Im gonna follow the money.
Dolphins ML (+108) vs. Chiefs
Two 6-2 teams travel to Munich to battle it out early morning. One thing stands out to me though, the Chiefs are frauds. They have been riding the T-Swift wave for this come back all year. They lost to the Broncos. Dolphins put 70 up on the Broncos. Taylor aint going to Germany, and Germany is real far away from KC. Give me the fins outright here.
Vikings vs. Falcons (-4.5)
T’s & P’s to Kirk Cousins first and foremost obviously. But lets capitalize on the fact the Vikings are dead. Everything is pointing to the under in this game, but I am not betting under 37.5, thats just brutal. Taylor Heinicke at the helm at home. Give me the dirty birds to cover here.
Cowboys (+3) vs. Eagles
If you like your sanity, dont bet this game. At this point the Cowboys bets from me are just obligatory and represents my hopes and dreams. Are the Eagles a better team as a whole? yes. Are we traveling to Philly in November? yes. There is one thing I take solace in though. This is an NFC East battle and we always play them tough. This isnt prime time, which is the Cowboys worst nightmare. This is also the biggest battle of the season before we could potentially take hold of the NFC with a win here. Give me the boys in Philly Sunday afternoon.
Bills ML (+114) vs. Bengals
Not sure what this line is about but Ill buy the bait. Great value here, Bills are good at football and Bengals have been inconsistent and mediocre at best. Bills Mafia all the way.
Chargers vs. Jets Under 40.5
The total has gone under in all of the Chargers last 5 games. Its gone under in 5 of the Jets last 6 home games. It has gone under in 9 of the last 12 Jets games. Snooze fest Monday night.
All odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook as of 11/1/2023