Welcome back. Last week was not a great week for the sheet. Been on a small heater the last few weeks. Last week the books kicked my ass. Just a 2-4 week. Looking back on the picks, I realize the flaw in my logic. Will need to correct my mistakes this week to right the ship.

I really should have just sat for a second and gave a thought about the Bengals vs Ravens. I should have know the Bengals would play the Ravens tough. Joey B has given fits to both the Ravens and the Chiefs, doesnt matter if hes at home or on the road.

Another overseas W. Was a little to close for comfort rooting for the under. I will say that was quite an entertaining game for 2 trash teams. That Munich crowd is absolutely electric, what a country.

The Saints seem to be back? Maybe firing the head coach is the answer after all. Again, I should have known better than to take the Falcons, they barely beat the Saints last time around. Its very difficult to beat a team 2 times in a season.

Titans came out looking pretty good. The chargers pulled it together though. Not much noteworthy to say.

Lions were in the trenches Monday night. Texans cover by .5 point. I couldnt believe it. 3-3 on the week would have made me so much happier than 2-4. Lions are a damn scrappy team.

Dolphins got Tyreek back last minute. As soon as I saw that I knew my pick was dead. Rams looked horrible Monday night. Dolphins are setup to make a comeback this season maybe.

Over/Under plays are now 51/49%. Seems like the books have caught up to that play. Away favorites are still crushing. Away favorites are covering 58% of the time, which is just a crazy high percentage for the NFL.

NFL Picks YTD 34-23

Commanders vs. Eagles Over 48.5

We will know if this bet is going to hit by the end of the first quarter. Another NFC East battle. Top 2 in the NFC East. They will play each other hard. Its still up in the air if itll be an offensive battle or defensive battle. I think both of these offenses are high powered and not afraid to put up style points if needed. Commander games are 7-2 to the over. All of the last 5 of their games on the road have gone over. 4 of the last 5 road games in Philly have gone over for them as well.

Vikings (-5.5) vs. Titans

Road favorite. Vikings are still a damn good team somehow. The Titans are just not good. Vikings cover down in Nashville. SKOL.

Seahawks vs. 49ers (-6.5)

I will be on the winning side this time. Made the horrible mistake taking the Seahawks last time. 49ers are getting in stride, they are at home. I think the Niners come out big. They are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games vs the Seahawks.

Bengals (+108) vs. Chargers

This will be a good Sunday night game. I think the Bengals are just the better team. Chargers have struggled to finish games I feel. Bengals are a good value here.

Texans vs. Cowboys Under 42.5

Cowboys probably wont score a touchdown. Cowboys also have gotten some key defensive players back. I think this will be a pretty boring slow game. This match up has gone under 5 times in the last 6 games. Texans games have gone under 7 times in 9 games.

All odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook as of 11/13/2024