Turkey Day special on this one! I believe last year I also made a pretty long sheet, so lets do it again this year. My plan is to just follow what I do anyways, make at least one pick per time slot for each game day. So 3 picks Thurs, 1 Friday, and 3 more Monday and another Monday. Lots of football to consume this holiday weekend, it will be glorious I know it. We get to argue about politics with family members, drink booze, stuff yourself with food, and most importantly watch football. Lets all enjoy this weekend shall we, and maybe just maybe win all our bets. Why not us?!
First lets recap last week. 3-3 week last night, so probably just barely got beat by the juice if I had to guess. Still better than the previous two weeks though. Lets see if we can continue to trend upwards.
Steelers vs. Browns was a fantastic game to watch, snow games are so awesome. I would have thought that the Steelers would have played better in the snow, but they fell apart when the white stuff started coming down. Should have let Fields play in the snow, man is used to playing in Chicago.
The Vikings choked hard in the second half. I really thought they had this in the bag, but they just kept letting the Bears catch up. Goes into OT and we dont cover by half a point. Damn it.
Chiefs need to get their shit together. This Panthers team is bottom of the barrel, and the Chiefs are a super bowl caliber team. Or at least they should be. They keep barely squeaking out wins, when they should blow a team like this out of the water.
The Broncos game had me stressed out. I really thought at the end their they were going to score and the Broncos were going to blow it. Good W though. Bo Nix is a dude.
I told yall. The Eagles are a team. If there is a team that will stop the Lions from reaching the Super Bowl it will be the Eagles. The Rams stood no chance, Saquon is a whole ass man.
Harbaugh bowl covers. I dont have much to say about this game. I was sick and took NyQuil, I was past out before halftime. Good pick for the sheet though.
Away favorites are still the play seemingly. Overs are starting to trend up as well. Over is now hitting 53.4% of the time.
NFL Picks YTD 38-30
Bears vs. Lions (-9.5)
Lions are 9-1-1 ATS this year. They are playing like mad men right now. Turkey day game in Detroit. I just think the Lions beat the brakes off the Bears for style points.
Giants vs. Cowboys Under 37.5
The Giants might not even score a touchdown in this game. Cowboys always struggle on Thanksgiving, its an NFC East showdown. I am sure the Giants will play the Boys tough. I just think this is a low scoring brawl.
Dolphins vs. Packers Under 47.5
In the last 5 games in Green Bay vs the Dolphins, the under has hit in all 5 of those games. Its going to be a brisk 26 degrees when this game kicks off, not including wind chill. I dont think this Florida team will be able to perform in the cold. Under hits for a 6th time in this exact game.
Raiders vs. Chiefs Under 42.5
Three under plays in a row. What have I turned into? The Raiders are now down to Either Ridder or O’Connell at the helm. O’Connell does already have a dub against the Chiefs under his belt, but I dont see that happening here. I just cant see the Raiders really being able to do much against the Chiefs at home. I also just cant take the Chiefs -12.5 since they have only covered double digits once this season I believe. They have only won by more than a possession twice this year. Chiefs keep the ball most of the game and Raiders arent scoring much.
Chargers (-1.5) vs. Falcons
I am going to take the bait here. I dont necessarily love this pick, but I do think the Chargers are a better team. Falcons can be sneaky though, especially at home.
Buccaneers (-5.5) vs. Panthers
Really like the idea of Baker having a day in this game. I think the Bucs have the grit to go out and have a better performance against the Panthers than the Chiefs did.
49ers vs. Bills (-6.5)
Primetime winter game in Buffalo? This seems like a no brainer. 49ers have been struggling as late and I think that struggle continues in Buffalo. Bills Mafia baby.
Browns vs. Broncos (-5.5)
Its hard to go to Mile High and play. Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. They are 9-3 ATS overall this season. Browns have not been great this season, bad in fact. I think the Broncos cover at home.
All odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook as of 11/27/2024