Welcome back to the sheet yet again. Not a horrible week last week. Finished week 6 at 4-2 which should put me ahead of the juice still and making the gap above .500 better. Definitely had some oversights on the 2 I lost. Gotta do better, still looking for that perfect week. I think this week was the first ever bet I have placed and won on a London game.

Starting off with Thursday night football last week, I definitely gave the Seahawks the benefit of the doubt when I should not have. 49ers are still a very good team even with the injuries they are facing. I expect them to continue to hit their stride and have a come back season. They are a damn good football team. The Seahawks on the other hand have a lot to prove still.

Bears looked really good in London. This really feels like the first time I have seen the Bears play like a unit and really lay it on the opposite team. The Jags are just in shambles right now, betting against them seems like a good bet until they kick Doug Peterson to the curb.

Buccaneers game was such a wild right to be honest. I thought for sure I had that in the bag early on. The Saints had a brand new QB at the helm and the Bucs go up 3 scores very early. But then somehow the Saints bring it back to come ahead. I was sweating so hard. Luckily the Bucs pulled it together and smothered the Saints. I am not sure there is anything that will heal this Saints team, they do not look the same at all as they did weeks 1-3.

I dont wanna talk about the Cowboys as a fan right now. Ill just say the Under seemed like a good bet. I really didnt expect the Lions to pour it on like that. I will refrain from sharing my opinions about the current state of the Dallas Cowboys.

Bengals finally decided to finish a game? Sort of? It was definitely not pretty, but a win is a win. The Bengals defense makes it so hard to bet on them.

Jets definitely looked a lot better this week without Saleh at the helm. Is Aaron leading this team behind the curtains? We may never know. The Bills come out on top as expected though. Good way to end the week for the sheet.

Biggest thing I want to talk about in terms of trends is the Away favorites ATS. Away favorites are now covering 70% of the time. Thats so wild to me, a percentage that high almost never happens in the NFL. I would definitely look at some away favorites, but also expect the sportsbooks to catch up too. Vegas always knows.

NFL Picks YTD 21-13

Broncos (-2.5) vs. Saints

This could very well blow up in my face, but I have my reasons. The Broncos are really starting to play like a formidable team. The Saints are still falling apart at the seams. Both teams are going to be starting their young QBs obviously, but Bo Nix has much more experience. 2.5 is a nice safe line for me. Also an away favorite, so hammer it.

Patriots vs. Jaguars (-5.5)

Honestly I hate picking this game. Jags blow. Pats do too. Jags will have been in London for 2 consecutive weeks though, its tough to travel that far and win. I just think Jags may be a little more acclimated and rested for this game. 5.5 is a lot of points though, so feel free to fade. I will say the Pats have not been able to keep games close.

Eagles (-3) vs. Giants

NFC East battle. This will be a hard fought game, but I just think the Eagles are the better team. This is Saquons homecoming. Eagles are playing slightly better now. Another away favorite too.

Panthers vs. Commanders Over 51.5

Both of these teams have been allowing a lot of points. In the last two weeks they both have also put up a lot of points themselves. This feels like a high scoring game to me.

Jets (-1.5) vs. Steelers

Jets get their act together Sunday night on the road. If the Cowboys can beat the Steelers, so can Aaron Rodgers with Davante Adams.

Ravens (-3.5) vs. Buccaneers

Ravens are playing damn good ball right now. Bucs are playing good too, which is why this line is kind of weird. I just think the Ravens are a freight train right now. Give me the Ravens on the road.

All odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook as of 10/16/2024