YTD 26-26-1

Ladies and Gentlemen we are back to .500 this week. I said I was gonna have a winning Saturday and that is exactly what we did last week. With a record of 12-8-1 we drag ourselves back to even three weeks in. Ignore the parlay of the week in that record, because we only need to hit one every five weeks to pay for its losses plus parlays are dumb and the only reason I put it in is I know some of you are plus sign degenerates. I will not lie to y’all this week’s slate is pretty damn weak in terms of high quality matchups. We do not have a single matchup of ranked teams this week. This means I have been deeper in the lab this week finding winners for you, the people. I need to keep the momentum going and have back to back winning weeks. I have a guttural feeling that the season may hinge on getting a streak started if I hope to match the results of yester year.

Sides YTD 14-18-1

Navy vs Memphis (-13)

I am not convinced the service academies are that good this year. Navy with their first year coach and a triple attack that clearly has not found it’s footing this year is highly concerning. Give me the tigers at home after they took care of the terrible Red Wolves for us last week.

LSU vs Mississippi State (+9.5)

This Mississippi State team is running the ball at a nearly 60% clip under new coach Zach Arnett. That is a far cry from nearly a 60% passing clip last year under Mike Leach may he rest in peace. I went and looked at my pick in this game last year were I picked State -2 in a game they got beat 31-16 in Death Valley. Terrible pick. That being said with this being an 11am game in Starkville and a heavier running approach this year for the Bulldogs 9.5 points is to many.

FSU (-26) vs BC

This line feels like such a trap. 11am game at BC will the Noles be able to get up for this game. I say yes mainly because they are an absolute wagon and BC is very very bad this year. Just hoping FSU keeps the pedal down for style points and takes care of these bums this saturday.

CMU vs Notre Dame (-34.5)

I am riding the Irish this year until the wheels fall off. CMU is a far cry this year from the teams they have had in the past. With Sam Hartman at the helm for Notre Dame they are averaging 47 PPG. They will dispatch CMU with relative ease within the friendly confines of South Bend.

Alabama (-33) vs USF

I am 2-0 betting on Alabama games this year. Backing them week 1 and fading them last week against Texas. This is a classic Saban loves to coach the boys extremely hard after a loss spot. The tide are gonna head down to Tampa and put the USF Bulls in the college football equivalent of the Brazen Bull this weekend.

South Carolina vs Georgia (-27.5)

First week the Bulldogs get to play someone with a pulse. Granted it is a weak pulse after the Gamecocks disappointing performance week one vs UNC, but regardless I want to see what Georgia looks like against an SEC opponent this year.

I think kirby will not be messing around and knows with how weak their schedule is this year he needs the boys to flat out dominate these matchups. Also South Carolina cannot block a soul and is close to the bottom of the sport in TFL’s allowed. Georgia will dominate by the required four scores.

Western Michigan vs Iowa (-28.5)

It is an odd thing to say about a week three matchup against a MAC team, but this game may determine if Brian Ferentz is employed as the offensive coordinator of the Hawkeyes at the end of the year. Given Iowa’s schedule and Brian’s need for them to average 25 PPG and win 7 games this year they have to be able to run up the score in this game. With that being said I am gonna back the Nepotism baby and say they cover this spread.

JMU vs Troy (-2.5)

Troy is always one of the yearly prides of the Sunbelt and at home I think they handle a JMU team that may have taken a step back from last year. This should be a great game.

Georgia Tech vs Ole Miss (-18)

I have not been able to get a good read on this Ole Miss team yet this year. At home though I think Lane and the boys take care of business for me against a team full of engineers.

WKU (+29) vs Ohio State

The Buckeyes offense has been shaky to start the year. That is concerning with how good of skill guys they have. WKU always is fun and we will know if we have a chance in this game after the first couple of Hilltopper drives against this very very good Ohio state defense. Buckeyes have yet been able to prove to me they can cover big spreads this year. I am daring them to do so this week.

Totals YTD 12-8

FSU vs BC (Over 48)

The Same principle as last week with FSU Overs we will keep betting them until they fail two consecutive weeks, because the Noles ain’t no joke.

Kansas State vs Mizzou (Over 47.5)

I have an odd feeling this game could get real weird in Columbia and in those cases I lean over.

CMU vs Notre Dame (Over 52)

I think Notre Dame should be able to hit this on their own against this CMU team.

Alabama vs USF (Under 61)

USF may not score in this game. Despite their loss last week I think this Bama defense is very good. We maybe threading the needle with that big of a Bama spread and the under, but I believe in my ability to be a spinster.

SDSU vs Oregon State (Over 48.5)

I feel as if I am chasing this SDSU team all around the country trying to get locked in on who they are. This week is more about the Beavers though, who I believe will be able to score some points in this game.

WKU vs Ohio State (Under 64)

Feels a bit sacreligious to keep taking Ohio State Unders, but until they prove they can hit an Over I will do it.

Tennessee vs Florida (Under 58.5)

I think Florida’s offense with Graham Mertz stinks. Something about this spread the more I have thought about it smells fishy.  I took Tennessee spread off the sheet. At the end of the day I need Milton to be a more consistent passer in terms of hitting the easy stuff. We all know he has an absolute Howitzer for an arm, but I need him to be better at the little short throws before I am comfortable betting on the Vols as road favorites in the Swamp a place they have not won since the early 00’s.

Washington vs Michigan State (Over 55.5)

I have no idea what this game will look like with the turmoil coming out of East Lansing this week in regards to their coach Mel Tucker and the allegations made against him. Washington on the other hand is a very good football team and will score a bunch of points regardless. Over.

Bowling Green vs Michigan (Under 53.5)

The Michigan Unders will continue until morale improves.

Parlay of the week

This week we are riding with the teams that have been the best to us so far this season

Notre Dame -34.5, Alabama -33, FSU Over 48

+595

10 to win 59.57

YTD 0-3 -3 units