What a rollercoaster week three! The past week had a little bit of everything and I am ready to highlight some of the fun matchups this coming college football weekend and hopefully do a little better at picking sides this week. Overall we went 50% on my picks at 7-7 last week and with the juice that is not good enough. So let’s try and pick up on some trends and get better this week.

Sides YTD 2-5

Miami Ohio vs Army (-7.5)

This is an Army team fresh off eviscerating the worst team in FBS football in UConn. Army has Ball St and then their Bye week so this should not be a case of the cadets looking past an opponent. Miami Ohio kept it within Five of minnesota just two weeks ago up in the land of 10,000 lakes, regardless I like the Black knights with that coaching staff at home to be able to cover this number.

Texas Tech vs Texas (-9)

The Longhorns had a nice little get right game against Rice last week beating the owls 58-0. Tech however comes into this match up in Austin with a 3-0 record beating Houston soundly in their opener. This will be an early telling game in Steve Sarkisian’s Texas career with their first home Big 12 game and who knows how many Big 12 games Texas has left. I like the Longhorns to win in convincing fashion this saturday.

Colorado St vs Iowa (-22.5)

Iowa football. What thoughts come to mind when thinking about Iowa football? Well this year the Hawkeyes should conjure thoughts of suffocating defense and covering spreads. The Hawkeyes are 3-0 against the spread this year and are allowing just 10 PPG. At home in Iowa city vs a colorado state team that has only beaten Toledo this year I love the Hawkeyes this week.

Rutgers vs Michigan (-20.5)

Is this the year for the Wolverines to finally win the Big 10? Looking back on the history books, no it is not. That aside both these teams come into the Big House with clean 3-0 Records straight up and ATS. Greg Schiano has got Rutgers to start to look like a respectable FBS program again. That being said I like Michigan’s offense a lot this year and against Big 10 teams not thought to be traditional powers, Harbaugh doesn’t typically play with his food. Michigan.

Texas A&M vs Arkansas (+5.5)

The Arkansas Razorbacks are 3-0 for the first time since 2016 that year in 2016 they suffered their first loss to the Aggies from Texas A&M. Both teams are bringing very good defensive units to Jerryworld this Saturday and with the Aggies QB position still in flux and the whole world picking A&M I love the hogs and the points this weekend. Since I will be attending this game I will also be sprinkling the Moneyline in this game.

Kentucky (-5) vs South Carolina

Beamer Ball has not taken root in South Carolina yet. That is with Shane Beamer in his first year on assignment with the Gamecocks I do not think they will be ready for a well coached Kentucky team to come to town. Cats get it done.

Tennessee vs Florida (-20.5)

Taking this many perennial powerhouses as large favorites is really setting myself up for failure isn’t it. That being said the Vols are not a good football team, they are in fact very bad at football. I think Dan Mullin and the gators let off some steam after their heartbreaking loss against Bama and really open this one up.

Totals YTD 5-2

Kansas vs Duke (Over 57.5)

Kansas is bad and Duke is not great. Now this is a classic case of will bad tackling and the Over prevail or will inept offensive schemes prevent both teams from scoring. A special teams or defensive Td seems inevitable as well with poorly coached teams so looking forward to betting this gross game, then probably never turning it on till I see I am close to the number.

Iowa St vs Baylor (Over 47)

I know Iowa St does not perennially get into shootouts, but when I see a Big 12 number below 50 I just can’t help myself. Never one to wish for a shootout in Wako so let’s simply agree to a gentleman’s agreement to both score 24 and win this bet.

Wyoming vs UConn (Over 54.5)

Another week with a UConn bet in the pickem, and another week of praying for UConn to get 10-14 points. Wyoming should not have any trouble scoring at will. This one just comes down to can UConn get any points at all and we hit this over.

Texas A&M vs Arkansas (Over 47.5)

I got this line at 47.5 when I bet it monday. Both of these teams are bringing great defenses into this matchup this weekend and I am counting on this game staying close so I think no matter what happens in this game these teams will find a way to get to this number.

Boise St vs Utah St (Under 69)

Simply too many points in this one. That being said I am sure they will find a way to go to OT and kill the Under. I like Utah St to keep this closer than a lot of experts may think and that should keep the under interesting with a competitive game but in the end it takes a lot of scoring to get to a 69.

Rutgers vs Michigan (Over 50.5)

Last week this Michigan Offense got us our, over all by themselves. That being said we are going right back to the well this week with the wolverines and the over, throw in a couple Rutgers scores and we sail past 50.5.

LSU vs Mississippi St (Over 55.5)

Neither of these teams can or want to run the ball at all. This game will take forever to get done with lots of scoring in between lots of incomplete passes to stop the clock and some poor tackling on the completions and this one may hit 56 fairly early.

All lines courtesy of Barstool Sports Book 9/22/2021